Monday, August 12, 2013

Silver clears 50 day moving average- Silver, Spot, Daily. 12.Aug.2013

Will silver continue it's grind higher and kiss the 200 day moving average which appears to converge at the stout resistance around the 26.00 mark before another reaction occurs? Too optimistic? Then perhaps it will fail at the 22.00 mark which is the top of the down trending line. However, if it breaks to the upside from here and gets out of this down trend range, then I suppose that there will be a higher chance of challenging the 26.00 zone (previous strong support turned resistance level).

Saturday, August 10, 2013

Why primary silver mining is so much more expensive today is due to several factors [By Steve; from http://srsroccoreport.com]

1) Declining ore grades: As I mentioned in a prior article, the top 6 silver companies & primary mines were producing silver at 13 oz a tonne in 2005. However, in 2012 this fell to 8.1 oz/t. I don’t have the data for 2000, but I can tell you that more than likely the top primary miners were producing silver at 15-16 oz/t at least
So as you can see, from 2000-2012, the top primary silver miners have seen their silver yields decline 50%. This means that their costs just to extract the silver have more than doubled due to falling ore grades alone. And, this does not factor in the price of energy.
2) Energy prices have quadrupled: Since 2000, the price of a barrel of oil has increased from $28 to $111. We must remember when the energy price doubles the costs down-stream can triple or quadruple. As energy costs increase, so do materials, labor and equipment. So, not only are the mining companies paying 4 times the price for liquid energy, they are also paying much higher prices for everything else.
3) Hecla’s Total Production Cost was $5.49 an ounce in 2000. According to Helca’s 2002 Annual Report, their total production cost for silver was $5.49 in 2000, which means they were losing money as the average price of silver in 2000 was $4.95. Now, we must remember, total production costs do not include ALL COSTS.
Hecla actually got their production costs down in 2002 to about $4.00, but the average price of silver was $4.60… so they still were barely making money. Hecla had a net income loss for 2000 as well as 2001. So, even though the prices of the metals were very cheap back then, many companies were not making profits.
Steve

Friday, August 9, 2013

Silver-- A review of the monthly chart. Has the new up trend already started? 9.Aug.2013


Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Is the bull market over?

If you agree with legendary investor, Jim Rogers and you are convinced that the long term picture for gold and silver are favorable (ie the bull market has several more years to run), then you may witness an incredible buying opportunity in the weeks or months to come. However, it takes tremendous amount of courage and conviction to go against the herd, but experienced investors will tell you that this is where the real money is made.

Tuesday, July 9, 2013

Gold below cost of production

Will mining costs create a floor for gold prices? This is a popular argument that gold bugs (bulls) cling to, with the idea that if gold continues to be below the cost of mining, then miners will stop mining and tighten the supply forcing gold prices up.

Here is what, Jim Rogers (Chairman of Rogers Holdings) has to say regarding this during his interview with Business Insider:

"I've been in the investment world a long time and I know that things can stay below the cost of production for years. It takes a long time for people to believe they have to close their mines. It cost money to close a mine, it costs money to re-open a mine, so people are reluctant to close mines. So you can see any commodity staying below the cost of production for a while, especially if it's something like a mine which is expensive to close, and expensive to open."

ORIGINAL SOURCE

Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Jim Rickards on CNBC. Have 10-20% of gold in your portfolio!



Jim Rickards is an American lawyer, economist, and investment banker with 35 years of experience working in capital markets on Wall Street. (Wikipedia)

Thursday, June 27, 2013

HSBC: Positioned for a modest rebound in gold

"Record Chinese imports of gold, continued strong interest in gold in India, central bank buying, and muted new supply all support our thesis that the current gold price weakness will not last."
Patrick Chidley, CFA, senior vice president of global metals and mining research at HSBC Securities USA
Source: Bloomberg June 27, 2013

Fed's Dudley: QE Could Increase If Labor Market Doesn't Improve [Reuters, Published: Thursday, 27 Jun 2013 | 10:12 AM ET]

"if labor market conditions and the economy's growth momentum were to be less favorable than in the FOMC's outlook - and this is what has happened in recent years - I would expect that the asset purchases would continue at a high pace for longer." William Dudley (head of the New York Fed)

Source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100830969